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I predicted the iPhone 6 Plus would outsell the iPhone 6, and I’m man enough to admit probable error. Three reasons for it: Apple lifers need time to adjust to a bigger screen, which I overlooked; major manufacturing issues with the iPhone 6 Plus, which led to people just buying the iPhone 6 instead; and surprisingly, Apple fans not really caring that much about specs.

I expect demand (not sales) for the iPhone 6 Plus to dwarf the iPhone 6 for Asians and Android switchers — two segments used to larger phones. For them, a 5.5-inch screen is no big deal. But for someone who’ve spent their entire smartphone lives with 3.5-inch and 4-inch screens, a 5.5-inch screen will appear ENORMOUS. Many struggle even with a 4.7-inch screen.

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If you purchased a 5.5-inch smartphone today and don’t own anything else, the next device you buy simply won’t be a mini tablet. That money is better spent on other things, like a laptop or larger tablet. That’s why I believe the future of mini tablets is niche, and why larger tablets and laptops will ultimately converge.

That 5.5-inch device is good enough to be your daily device for personal consumption: browsing the web, reading books and even watching video. It’s still great for phone calls, photos and messages too. If you purchase a second device, it’ll be to do things you can’t do well on a 5.5-inch screen — like office work.

Despite most of Asia being clued into this for the past couple years, and despite large Android phones actually being popular in the US and Europe, the press there seemed largely unaware of this trend.

Until the iPhone 6 Plus.

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In just 24 hours, Apple will hold their much anticipated event in which they are expected to announce the iPhone 6 and iWatch. I’ll be right there watching the live stream and will post about it. It’s going to be an exciting day. I’m excited.

But.

What I don’t get is the endless amount of coverage and last minute speculation. And from respected publications too. Going by just a selection of Techmeme headlines the past 48 hours:

“iPhone and ‘iWatch’ NFC payments to use tokenization technology, preferred by banks for its security benefits.”

“5.5-inch iPhone 6 may run landscape apps with more productive iPad-like interface.”

“What to expect from Apple’s September 9th event: new iPhones, wearables, iOS8, more.”

“Apple’s wearable will come with an App store; Facebook and several other big developers already have access to a pre-release SDK.”

May run. Sources say this. What to expect. Yadda yadda.

Really guys??

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